WNBA All-Star Selections According To PPP
By Nicholas LeTourneau
Anyone that has read my posts this season knows that my favorite advanced metric to evaluate platers is Synergy’s points per possession (PPP). For those that aren’t familiar with the stat or how it is calculated, it is pretty much the average amount of points the player generates on every possession. It takes into effect makes, three-pointers, free throws made and most importantly misses. A PPP over one is pretty good, meaning that for every attempted scoring possession the player generates over one point.
This year the W is trying out something new for the All-Star Game, foregoing selecting 11 players from each conference and instead selecting the top 22 players regardless of conference. The top nine guards and top 13 frontcourt players will get to participate, so with that in mind I decided to use PPP to select the WNBA All-Star roster.
In order to weed out anomalies I decided to only include players who have had a minimum of 150 scoring possessions because there are a good number of bench players that have made the most of their limited possessions and have a very good PPP.
Diana Taurasi - Phoenix Mercury - 1.138 PPP
Allie Quigley - Chicago Sky - 1.016 PPP
Kayla McBride - Las Vegas Aces - 1.008 PPP
Tiffany Hayes - Atlanta Dream - 1.005 PPP
Jewell Loyd - Seattle Storm - 0.975 PPP
DeWanna Bonner - Phoenix Mercury - 0.965 PPP
Chelsea Gray - Los Angeles Sparks - 0.944 PPP
Skylar Diggins-Smith - Dallas Wings - 0.931 PPP
Kelsey Mitchell - Indiana Fever - 0.901 PPP
Chiney Ogwumike - Connecticut Sun - 1.164 PPP
Breanna Stewart - Seattle Storm - 1.135 PPP
Nneke Ogwumike - Los Angeles Sparks - 1.122 PPP
Elena Delle Donne - Washington Mystics - 1.106 PPP
Natasha Howard - Seattle Storm - 1.09 PPP
Brittney Griner - Phoenix Mercury - 1.072 PPP
Sylvia Fowles - Minnesota Lynx - 1.071 PPP
Candace Parker - Los Angeles Sparks - 1.055 PPP
Liz Cambage - Dallas Wings - 1.052 PPP
Cheyenne Parker - Chicago Sky - 1.04 PPP
Kristi Toliver - Washington Mystics - 1.033 PPP
A’ja Wilson - Las Vegas Aces - 0.982 PPP
Maya Moore - Minnesota Lynx - 0.965 PPP
I think this is going to be a pretty accurate representation of who will ultimately be selected to the All-Star game. When I started going through PPP I was worried that it would omit high-usage star players like Maya Moore or that unworthy players would sneak onto the list based on efficient scoring in situations where they weren’t the focal point of the offense (Kia Nurse would’ve snuck onto the list if she had just a handful more scoring possessions). There are a few notable omissions like Seimone Augustus and Tina Charles, who were just too far down the list despite meeting the minimum 150 scoring possessions and Sue Bird, who failed to meet the minimum 150 scoring possessions.
The 22 top players will be chosen by a combination of fan, players/coaches and media with fans having the largest say of all three groups. The top two vote-getters will be named captain to each team and then select from the remaining 20 players. All-Star voting closes Thursday July 12 at midnight so be sure to cast your votes by then if you want to see your favorite player in the Twin Cities this summer.